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Eagle 3
Frontiersman, February 2016
First Principles
Sam Aurelius Milam III
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Statistical Analysis
15x5 Page Background GIF ImageIn the field of statistical analysis, even the basics are complicated.  For example, here's a description of the second simplest idea in the entire field, population standard deviation.
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15x5 Page Background GIF ImageFor a finite set of numbers, the standard deviation is found by taking the square root of the average of the squared deviations of the values from their average value.
—from Standard deviation
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15x5 Page Background GIF ImageThe Wikipedia article includes a simple example calculation.  For my purposes, the most important thing to notice in that example is that the denominators of the equations include the term n, where n represents the size of the population being studied.  Population size is fundamental to statistical analyses but, for the purposes of this article, it's most important when it's equal to one.  Anybody who works through the example calculation for a population of one, rather than for a population of eight, as is shown in the example, will discover that, for a population of one, the variance is zero and the population standard deviation is the square root of zero.  I think that might be what's called a trivial solution.  Whatever the terminology, the result isn't useful for statistical predictions.
15x5 Page Background GIF ImageIt's assumed, in the example, that the population represented in the calculation is the entire existing population.  If such a calculation is done for a random sample, taken from a larger population, then Bessel's Correction is applied.  Bessel's Correction replaces n with (n - 1).  When n equals 1, then (n - 1) equals zero.  The mathematicians insist that division by zero is prohibited.  So, by the accepted mathematical conventions, with Bessel's Correction reducing the denominator to zero, it isn't possible to calculate a sample standard deviation for a population of one, whether or not it would be statistically useful.
Page 1 Box15x5 Page Background GIF ImageMore advanced statistical calculations use equations that can boggle the mind.  However, in any such analysis, the same thing is true.  Whatever is being calculated will include the term n or (n - 1), in the denominator, somewhere in the calculation.  When n equals 1, the calculations are either useless or impossible.  That circumstance might not have a name, but I think of it as The First Principle of Statistical Analysis.  It tells us that it's impossible to statistically predict the behavior of an individual.
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The Principles of Liberty
15x5 Page Background GIF ImageThe Principles of Liberty are presented in detail in Pharos and in The Sovereign's Library.  The first of those seven principles tells us that there isn't a cause of action until there's a victim.  Thus, a person cannot legitimately be punished merely because of something that he might do, or that he's capable of doing.  Punishment can be legitimately administered only in response to actual harm, provably caused by the actual behavior of an actual perpetrator.  It isn't acceptable to punish somebody based on mere speculation about something that he's capable of doing, or that he might do.
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Bad Policies
15x5 Page Background GIF ImageMany bad policies exist in our society, mostly based on dogma and opinion, and without much regard for such principles as those noted above.  Individuals are restricted, punished, or both, as a consequence of such policies.  The policies apply to individuals who haven't caused any harm at all, often based entirely on some completely unsupportable statistical expectation that they might do so.  The best example of such bad policies, because its consequences are so pervasive and so draconian, because the policy has been so mindlessly embraced, and because any opposition to it provokes such instant and vehement denunciations, is the punishment of drunk drivers.
15x5 Page Background GIF ImageStatistical analysis can provide an estimate of the probability of alcohol related accidents within a population of drunk drivers.  The larger the population, the more confidence there will be in the estimate.  The smaller the population, the less confidence there will be in the estimate.  When the population size is one, then it isn't possible to make an estimate at

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all.  The equations are not valid for a population of one.  Indeed, statistical analysis is unable to prove that an individual drunk driver will EVER cause an accident.  Such a driver might drive drunk for his entire life and never cause any harm.  Nevertheless, the policies impose upon everybody, drunk or not, a police force of strutting, armed, gestapo-style enforcers who roam the streets and highways at will, dispensing repression and exacting tribute.  They don't have any respect at all for The Principles of Liberty.  Their only agenda is absolute and rigid enforcement.
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Human Society
15x5 Page Background GIF ImageSuch authoritarianism isn't new.  So far as I'm aware, human societies have always consisted of subservient people under the control of authoritarian governments.  American society certainly isn't an exception.  Americans will boast of their freedom and rights, but a benevolent master is a master just the same, and the ability to vote for that master doesn't make the voter any less a slave.  In America, as elsewhere and as always, everything is either required, prohibited, or regulated.  Obedience is mandatory.  Any refusal to cooperate, even in America, will probably result in punishment.
15x5 Page Background GIF ImageMaybe governments are always oppressive because people aren't fit to govern themselves, or to manage their own affairs.  Joseph de Maistre commented that every nation has the government that it deserves.  Poppa told me that people are just too damned stupid for it to even be worth bothering with them.  Hopefully, Poppa was wrong, but I've spent a big part of my life trying to teach people to stop encouraging, submitting to, and cooperating with the repressive evils of government, all to no avail.  Things are worse now than they were when I started.  I suppose that the best thing that I can do for now is to keep trying, and to try to live my own life according to the principles that I'm trying to teach.
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A Proposed First Principle.
Page 2 Box15x5 Page Background GIF ImageWith his execution for treason looming, Richard Rumbold declared that Providence doesn't send a few men into the world, ready booted and spurred to ride, and millions ready saddled and bridled to be ridden.  Maybe, with death imminent, he perceived a previously unnoticed First Principle, and denied it.  Maybe he was wrong.  Maybe it's a true principle.  Based on my own experiences, I can suggest it as The First Principle of Human Society, hope that Rumbold was right, and hope that I am wrong.10x5 Page Background GIF ImageGun
Letters to the Editor
15x5 Page Background GIF ImageIn a few days I'll be out on parole for 8 months and it's twice the pain than in prison!  Sure, I had some guards to avoid and some cellmates to stay away from, but the broad spectrum of choices on the outside can make hell a very easy choice to accept, unconsciously.  Every face, it seems, offers 1st class trouble.  Some of that is self-thought in action, of course, but in other cases it's just bad company returning for another round.  Watch what you are thinking in your head (mindfulness in action) and you'll soon notice how things on the outside slowly change for the better.  Hang in there.
—Jim, in Victorville
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15x5 Page Background GIF ImageYour comments reminded me of an essay that I wrote way back in 1985.  The title is Rich Man, Poor Man, Beggar Man, Thief:   A Satirical Essay.  It's available in Pharos.
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Dear Sam:
15x5 Page Background GIF ImageThe apparent vanishing of [name withheld] has caused me to start thinking about you.
15x5 Page Background GIF ImageIf you suddenly die or mysteriously disappear, have you made arrangements for someone to notify your subscribers?  It would spare your readers a certain amount of distress and confusion if you could do so.
15x5 Page Background GIF ImageOn another topic — Recently, I heard part of an interview on the radio.  Ralph Nader, the famous consumer advocate, was interviewing an author named Nomi Prins.  She has recently written a book on the Federal Reserve.  I was mildly shocked, because what she was saying could have been copied from your old essays, or from some of the books that the Constitutional Patriots used to read.  The facts about the Fed are becoming better known.  It remains to be seen what people will do about them.
—Sir Donald
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15x5 Page Background GIF ImageI don't have any plan for having people notified when I die or disappear.  I also don't have anybody available to continue my work.
15x5 Page Background GIF ImageDuring my brief investigation by the FBI, in May of 2006, I told Special Agents Ray Duncan and James H. Rominger that I didn't intend to go into hiding.  I told them that, if I disappeared, then it would be at the hands of agents of the Unnamed Agency.  I told them that, in such a case, I expected them to rescue me.  They didn't seem to be even remotely interested.  When I started telling them my beliefs about

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the September 11 attacks, they seemed like they mostly just wanted to leave.  I never heard from them again.  They didn't reply to any of my subsequent correspondence.   Maybe they disappeared at the hands of agents of the Unnamed Agency.
15x5 Page Background GIF ImageI occasionally notice my ideas being used by somebody else.  If he (she, in this case) actually took the idea from my work, then a reference to me would be courteous.  However, ideas, by their nature, are freely available for anybody to discover or to use.  Intellectual property is a contradiction in terms.
15x5 Page Background GIF ImageAll of my essays about money, taxes, and corporations are available under that heading, in Pharos.  I've added several more essays under that heading since I left California.  Maybe you haven't read those subsequent essays.  It might be worthwhile for you to do so.
15x5 Page Background GIF ImageRegarding the facts about the Fed, the issue isn't what people will do about them.  The issue is what you will do about them.
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Dear Sam,
15x5 Page Background GIF ImageI just got your June 2018 Frontiersman.  As always, I enjoy reading your thoughts.  For starters, I totally loved your upside down flag, nation in distress stamp.  Not only an astute observation but a great kick in the nuts to our "gov-mint".  Ha ha.  I totally dug it.
15x5 Page Background GIF ImageNow, to your newsletter.  Whoever the prisoner was that said blah, blah, and ended up in the SHU, what an idiot.  I'm not saying he's all wrong.  Of course you stand back to back with a buddy in a bar fight.  And prison is a violent place, SHU or mainline, and sometimes, hole be damned, you have to hurt people, or be hurt.
15x5 Page Background GIF ImageBut the guy who wrote you, describing injuries, etc., either he's a liar or a dumbass who enjoys being in the mix.  Instead of being a braggart, its better to be quiet and carry a big stick.  That way your enemies never see it coming because you haven't ran your mouth too much and gave up your game.
15x5 Page Background GIF ImageAnyway, I don't want to waste ink on a j-cat.  What you wrote, "Carnet:  Rise of the machines", I agree with your take on the issue.  The idea of your car locking you in and driving you to a police station in the event of a warrant is a fucked up thought.  And as for a former girlfriend getting a restraining order, the problem could be larger than your car restricting where you can drive.  What if she wants to be a bitch and follows you, your car would attempt to maintain the minimum distance required between you and her, and since the car is in "code-mode", the car couldn't relinquish control to you and she could drive "you" around all night, and what would the car do if she drove you into a cul-de-sac?  Would it then deliver you to the cops, reporting a restraining order violation?
15x5 Page Background GIF ImageAnd yes, what a creative way to kidnap, and also, one could send a car to pick up the ransom to avoid contact.  But think about this, what if the government declared "marshal law", what an effective "crowd-control" measure, to reprogram all autos and trucks, drones, etc. to run over anything that has an ambient temperature between 97 to 100 degrees, or if the moving object detected by the car wasn't transmitting a code recognized by the government.  Then all movement would be "dispatched" by the autonomous, roving, computer guided, 4 wheeled army.
15x5 Page Background GIF ImageThe implications of privacy violations and crowd control are staggering.  One could write hundreds of Sci-fi novels based on this premise....
—a prisoner
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15x5 Page Background GIF ImageRegarding my Carnet article, on pages 1 and 2 of the June issue, Carl, of Gramling, South Carolina, found some related information in an article on pages B1 and B2 of the June 14 Wall Street Journal.  According to that article, authorities in China are equipping cars with RFID chips, soon to be mandatory, and installing RFID readers along the roads.  According to the article, the new devices will "vastly expand China's surveillance network... [that] already includes widespread use of security cameras, facial-recognition technology and internet monitoring.”
15x5 Page Background GIF ImageThe Wall Street Journal article neglected to mention the similarity of the Chinese system to the vast and growing transportation-based surveillance and control infrastructure in this country.
Stray Thoughts
Sam Aurelius Milam III
15x5 Page Background GIF ImageI seriously doubt if any so-called indigenous people, anywhere on the entire planet, were originally native to the region in which they lived.  Instead, I suspect that, in every case and without exception, their ancestors were foreign invaders who displaced previous so-called indigenous people.
15x5 Page Background GIF ImageDemocracy isn't based on the notion that the majority knows best.  Democracy is based on the notion that the biggest army will probably win, and that whichever side has the most votes would probably also have had the biggest army.  Thus, votes are substituted for bullets.  The decisions are still based on might, not on right, and it's still just as likely that the wrong side will win.10x5 Page Background GIF ImageGun

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c/o 4984 Peach Mountain Drive
Gainesville, Georgia  30507
15x5 Page Background GIF ImageOur schools and colleges are turning out people who cannot feel fulfilled unless they are telling other people what to do.
— Thomas Sowell
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15x5 Page Background GIF ImageMy thanks to the following:  SantaClara Bob;  Betty;  James, of Victorville, California;  Sir Donald the Elusive;  Eric, of Ione, California;  and Robert, of Stockton, California.
— editor
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Blonde Jokes
Original Source Unknown.  Forwarded by Don G.
Q.15x5 Page Background GIF ImageHow do you measure a blonde's IQ?
A.15x5 Page Background GIF ImageWith a tire pressure gauge.
Q:15x5 Page Background GIF ImageHow can you tell when a FAX was sent by a blonde?
A:15x5 Page Background GIF ImageThe envelope will have a stamp on it.10x5 Page Background GIF ImageInfinity Symbol

Signs of Getting Old
Original Source Unknown.  Forwarded by Don G.
15x5 Page Background GIF ImageYou like to be in crowds because they keep you from falling down.
15x5 Page Background GIF ImageYour favorite section of the newspaper is "25 Years Ago Today".
15x5 Page Background GIF ImageThe parts that have arthritis are the parts where you feel the best.
15x5 Page Background GIF ImageA big evening with your friends is sitting around comparing your living wills.
15x5 Page Background GIF ImageYour clothes go into the overnight bag so you can fill the suitcase with your pills.
15x5 Page Background GIF ImageSomebody you consider an old-timer calls you an old-timer. 
15x5 Page Background GIF ImageYour idea of a change of scenery is looking to the left or right.
15x5 Page Background GIF ImageYour knees buckle, but your belt won't.
15x5 Page Background GIF ImageAll you want for your birthday is to not be reminded of your age.10x5 Page Background GIF ImageInfinity Symbol

15x5 Page Background GIF ImageAvailability — Assuming the availability of sufficient funds, subscriptions to this newsletter in print, copies of past issues in print, and copies of the website on CDs are available upon request.  Funding for this newsletter is from sources over which I don't have any control, so it might become necessary for me to terminate these offers or to cancel one or more subscriptions at any time, without notice.  All past issues are presently available for free download at the internet address shown below.  Contributions are welcome.
15x5 Page Background GIF ImageCancellations — If you don't want to keep receiving printed copies of this newsletter, then return your copy unopened.  When I receive it, I'll terminate your subscription.
15x5 Page Background GIF ImageReprint Policy — Permission is hereby given to reproduce this newsletter in its entirety or to reproduce material from it, provided that the reproduction is accurate and that proper credit is given.  I do not have the authority to give permission to reprint material that I have reprinted from other sources.  For that permission, you must apply to the original source.  I would appreciate receiving a courtesy copy of any document or publication in which you reprint my material.
15x5 Page Background GIF ImageSubmissions — I consider letters, articles, and cartoons for the newsletter, but I don't pay for them.  Short items are more likely to be printed.  I suggest that letters and articles be shorter than 500 words but that's flexible depending on space available and the content of the piece.
15x5 Page Background GIF ImagePayment — This newsletter isn't for sale.  If you want to make a voluntary contribution, then I prefer cash or U.S. postage stamps.  For checks or money orders, please inquire.  You can use editor@frontiersman.org.uk for PayPal payments.  In case anybody's curious, I also accept gold, silver, platinum, etc.  I don't accept anything that requires me to provide ID to receive it.

— Sam Aurelius Milam III, editor

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